Written by: Basant El-Farmawi
Canada is facing increasing climate challenges with rising gas emission levels, as data reveals that Canadian oil and gas exports cause polluting emissions abroad that exceed the volume of emissions within Canadian territory itself.
Expansion in Production and Climate Challenges
Canada is currently the world's fourth-largest oil producer and fifth-largest gas producer, exporting about 81% of its oil production and nearly half of its gas production. Estimates indicate that emissions resulting from Canadian oil and gas exports abroad reach 1,030 million tons, which is one and a half times the volume of domestic emissions.
Despite Canada's international commitments, oil production has seen notable growth, rising from 2.2 million barrels per day in 2000 to reach 5.6 million barrels per day by the end of 2025. Oil production is expected to peak at about 6.1 million barrels per day by 2042.
Expansion of Liquefied Natural Gas Projects
The liquefied natural gas sector stands out as a key element in the expansion strategy, with massive projects in British Columbia that could significantly increase export capacity. Analyses indicate that Canada ranks second globally in projected oil and gas production expansion by 2035, which enhances its global carbon footprint.
Existing projects in Quebec, such as the Kino Aski project developed by the Norwegian company Marinvest, include the development of a floating terminal for liquefied natural gas exports, which contributes to enhancing national export capabilities.
The Controversy Over the Role of Gas in Energy Transition
The gas industry sparks widespread controversy over the classification of gas as "clean" or transition energy. Data confirms that emissions resulting from Canadian gas exported to Asia and Europe may not be lower than coal emissions, which could slow the pace of the transition toward renewable energy.
The oil and gas industry is responsible for about 72% of the total annual emissions associated with Canada, both domestically and internationally, while other sectors such as transport, buildings, and various industries represent only 28% of the total carbon footprint.
