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Energy and Gas Markets

Oil exceeds $111 amid Middle East tensions and falling inventories

Oil exceeds $111 amid Middle East tensions and falling inventories
Energy and Gas Markets · 11:32:38 - Thursday, 22 October 2026

Written by: Ahmed Abdel Salam

Developments in oil prices and the impact of geopolitical tensions

Oil prices extended their gains during Wednesday's trading, driven by rising tensions in the Middle East, which raised widespread concerns about the potential for global supply disruptions. At the same time, the market received additional support from a decline in crude oil and petroleum product inventories in the United States, which exacerbated concerns about tightening supplies in international markets.

The impact of shipping costs on energy markets

Recent economic reports have indicated that the average cost of shipping crude oil globally continues to rise significantly, reaching several times the levels recorded a full year ago. Indicators confirmed that this rise is expected to continue as long as conflicts and tensions persist in the Middle East, representing an additional risk factor that could push Brent crude prices toward new record levels exceeding previous market forecasts.

Inventory data and efforts to increase fuel production

On the U.S. front, authorities at the Department of Energy continue their efforts in coordination with oil refineries around the world to boost fuel production, in light of the diesel supply shortage crisis that has directly affected rising prices domestically and globally. In the same context, preliminary data from the American Petroleum Institute showed a decline in crude inventories in the United States, while markets are cautiously awaiting the official data from the Energy Information Administration, amid expectations pointing to a further drop in inventories.

Performance of oil contracts at closing

Oil futures prices regained strong gains at the close, as Brent crude for December delivery recorded a notable rise supported by this data, reaching levels exceeding $111 per barrel, an increase of over 2%. On the other hand, U.S. NYMEX crude for December delivery recorded strong gains, settling above the $100 per barrel mark, as investors await global supply and demand trends and inventory developments that influence market movement.

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